
Reuters reports that US oil refiners are now profiting from biofuel production, driven by renewable fuel mandates and high fuel prices. Strong biofuel-producer demand for feedstocks, especially soybean oil, is tightening supply.
A slowdown in soy crushing from spring plant maintenance adds to the tightness.
Strong feedstock demand and reduced crush capacity point to firmer soybean oil and soybean prices. Higher feedstock costs could discourage some biodiesel and renewable diesel output, which would limit the demand support.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.