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The US will require record biofuel blending over 2026 and 2027, with a final rule setting 26.81bn RINs for this year and 27.02bn RINs next year. The mandate lifts biomass-based diesel demand and RIN prices, which had already reached multiyear highs.
Refiners warned the mandate could raise pump prices.
Record mandates sharply increase demand for soybean oil and other renewable diesel feedstocks, supporting their prices while refiner costs rise.
argusmedia.comCole MartinMar 25, 2024After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, DIESEL moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
