
Malaysian palm oil futures rose about 3% to a 15-month high on March 30 after Indonesian President Prabowo said Indonesia will proceed with the B50 biodiesel programme this year. Crude oil also rallied as Yemeni Houthis launched attacks on Israel.
A confirmed B50 mandate would add substantial biodiesel demand for palm oil and tighten exportable supply, supporting prices. Higher crude further narrows the palm-gasoil spread and strengthens biofuel economics.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
15-month high on March 30 after Prabowo reaffirmed B50 and crude rallied, a biodiesel demand driver that fed the continuing move.