
Malaysian palm oil futures rose 0.8% to 4,290 ringgit per ton in early trade on October 21, after two sessions of declines. Support came from firmer crude oil and Chicago soyoil, while Malaysia plans to raise the windfall levy threshold and revise crude palm oil export duty.
Stronger crude makes palm more attractive for biodiesel, and the planned export duty revision could affect Malaysian export flows and palm prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Dated on the move day (Oct 21), it reports firmer crude and Chicago soyoil lifting palm oil, which points to energy and vegoil-complex strength supporting soyoil futures.