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Indonesia announced a 20% mandatory domestic sales obligation for palm producers to cool local cooking oil prices. Malaysian palm futures rose to a record 5,639 ringgit per tonne.
Buyers in India, China and Africa are expected to switch to cheaper soyaoil and sunflower oil.
The export curb removes palm supply from world markets and makes it the priciest major edible oil. Substitution toward soy and sunflower oil shifts demand and lifts prices for those oils.
asiafinancial.comGeorge RussellJan 30, 2022
brecorder.comReutersJan 31, 2022After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The 20% domestic sales obligation and record futures were reported just before the move, but the date is a few days earlier, so it is mostly a precursor.
