
Malaysian palm oil futures rose 2.5% to 3,780 ringgit on November 2 after Indonesia confirmed it would keep its domestic market obligation export policy through 2024. Indian edible oil imports in October fell to a 16-month low as refiners cut purchases amid high stocks.
Crude oil gains also supported palm as a biodiesel feedstock.
Indonesia's export curbs tighten global palm supply, supporting prices into 2024. Weaker Indian buying offsets some of that support by raising stocks in producing countries.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Indonesia's confirmed export policy and firmer crude oil lifted Malaysian palm futures about 2.5% on Nov 2, but this is dated a day after the Nov 1 move, so it likely reflects continuation or the same drivers rather than the cause.