
Malaysian palm oil futures rose on Monday, supported by higher crude oil prices and Indonesia's plan to raise its biofuel mandate. Gains were capped by concerns over a new COVID-19 outbreak in China.
A higher Indonesian biodiesel mandate would absorb more palm oil domestically and firmer crude supports palm's biofuel competitiveness, both bullish for prices. China COVID worries limit demand-side support.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.