
Malaysian palm oil futures rose for a fourth straight session on August 26, 2024, closing at a one-month high of 3,921 ringgit per ton. The gain followed reports that Indonesia may lower its export tax and raise biodiesel blending, along with Malaysian weather and production concerns.
Trade ministry officials said the export tax adjustment is under consideration.
Expected Indonesian export tax cuts and higher biodiesel blending both point to firmer palm oil demand and tighter export supply. Weather risks in Malaysia add further support to prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.