
Malaysian palm oil futures rose for a fifth straight session on Tuesday to a longest rally in six weeks. The gain followed an Indonesian Palm Oil Association estimate that Indonesia's 2024 output will fall to 52-53 million tons and Indonesia's plan for 50% palm biodiesel blending.
Expected Indonesian supply shortfall and biodiesel demand growth tighten global vegetable oil supplies, supporting palm and soyoil prices.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Indonesian 2024 output downgrade to 52-53 MMT and the biodiesel blending plan tightened expected supply and added demand, building the bullish backdrop.