
Malaysian palm oil futures edged up in early trade on 10 February 2022 after Indonesia widened its export permit requirement to more palm products. The regulation now requires exporters to sell 20% of planned exports domestically at a price cap, and it covers derivatives as well as crude palm oil and olein.
Malaysia's January palm stocks fell 3.85% to 1.55 million tonnes.
Broader Indonesian export permits restrict supply to world markets, which supports palm prices, and the drop in Malaysian stocks reinforces that support.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.