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Chicago wheat neared a 6-1/2 year high on January 19, 2021, with the most-active contract up 1.6% at $6.86-1/2 a bushel. Russia's plan to tax wheat exports at 50 euros a tonne from March to June, with a 25 euro levy from February 15 and a levy kept for next season, continued to keep global supply uncertain.
Corn held near a 7-1/2 year high while Ukraine debated export limits.
Russian export taxes and possible Ukrainian export caps reduce expected global wheat and corn availability, supporting prices for feed grain buyers. Tighter exporter supply tends to lift wheat and corn values and substitution demand for feed alternatives.
brecorder.comReutersJan 19, 2021After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 37 past bullish policy events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.0%), and -3.3% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
