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CBOT corn and soybean futures rose after a Brazilian executive order tightened rules on industry tax credits, which food exporters called unconstitutional. Traders expected the measure to make Brazilian exporters less competitive and boost US export business.
Brazilian exporters hesitated to sell after the rule, and the order needs congressional approval within four months.
Higher costs for Brazilian exporters could shift global demand toward US grain and soy, supporting US futures prices.
brecorder.comReutersJun 7, 2024After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The Brazilian executive order tightening tax credits could make Brazilian exporters less competitive and shift export demand to the US, which is bullish for US corn.
