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Abiove projects Brazil will crush a record 57.1 million mt of soybeans in 2025, from 55 million mt in 2024, on a 171.7 million mt harvest. The crush is supported by rising soybean oil demand for biodiesel as the blend moves to 15% in March.
A record crush expands soymeal output and pressures meal prices, while higher biodiesel demand supports soybean oil and the soybean complex.
spglobal.comJan 21, 2025After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
