U.S. Biofuel Boom: What’s Driving Record Soybean Crush, and Will It Fuel Higher Prices?

After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Nov 30, 2022Surging US Biofuel Production Stokes Soybean Crush Demand-9.9%
• May 29, 2025Crush Expanding, Biofuels Shifting - What Does It Mean?-4.6%
• Jan 21, 2025Record 2025 soybean crush pressures Brazil soybean meal prices+0.5%
• Jun 26, 2026EPA Biofuel Rule Boosts Soybean Oil Demand Through Higher Renewable Fuel Blending Mandates-2.8%
• Jun 13, 2025Soybeans and Bean Oil Surge on RVO News: How High Will Prices Run?+10.1%

After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Jul 2, 2025Terrain | Crush, Rain and RVOs: What’s Driving Soybean Prices?-1.2%
• Nov 30, 2022Surging US Biofuel Production Stokes Soybean Crush Demand-0.3%
• May 29, 2025Crush Expanding, Biofuels Shifting - What Does It Mean?-0.3%
• Jan 21, 2025Record 2025 soybean crush pressures Brazil soybean meal prices+1.1%
• Jun 26, 2026EPA Biofuel Rule Boosts Soybean Oil Demand Through Higher Renewable Fuel Blending Mandates+0.4%