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Soybeans rose sharply on Friday and soybean oil closed limit up across all contracts after the EPA proposed Renewable Volume Obligations. The proposal raises biomass-based diesel volumes 67% from 2025 to 5.61 billion gallons for 2026 and 5.86 billion for 2027, above industry's recommended 5.25 billion.
A large increase in mandated biomass-based diesel use shifts soybean oil demand toward fuel, tightening oil supplies and supporting crush margins and soybean prices.
agweb.comJun 13, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
EPA's proposed RVOs (BBD 5.61bn gal for 2026) sent soybean oil limit up on June 13, the main demand-side driver of the 5-day gain.
EPA's RVO proposal raising biomass-based diesel volumes 67% sent soybean oil limit up on June 13, the core demand shock behind the move.
