Corn futures rose about 2% and soybean futures about 4% on Tuesday. The rally followed an Argentine dispute over a corn export ban, falling soybean crush margins, higher crude oil and a weaker US dollar.
Argentina's export restrictions and tighter soybean supply support corn and soybean prices, raising feed ingredient costs for buyers.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn futures rose about 2% on Jan 5 on the Argentine corn export ban dispute, low supplies and a weaker dollar, which directly drove the window's move.