Indonesia plans to limit palm oil exports through a minimum domestic sales share to curb rising cooking oil prices. Malaysian palm futures hit an all-time high, and palm has become the priciest of the three major edible oils.
Indonesia and Malaysia together account for about 85% of global palm supply.
Export limits from a producer holding about 85% of palm supply with Malaysia tighten world vegetable oil availability. Higher palm prices push up costs for feed rations that use palm-based ingredients.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports of Indonesia limiting exports via a minimum domestic sales share, with palm at record highs, show the supply-restriction mechanism driving the rally.