Malaysia poised to gain as Indonesia likely to cut palm oil exports, says MPOC

After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 22, 2021Indonesia's new palm oil levy likely to lift exporters' profit margin+0.7%
• Feb 1, 2022Edible oil markets rally as Indonesia limits palm oil exports - Grain Central+6.0%
• Jun 21, 2021Indonesia to cut crude palm oil export levy to $175/mt: sources+0.3%
• Mar 18, 2025Indonesia to raise palm oil export levy to 4.5% to 10%, official says-0.2%
• Apr 8, 2025Indonesia to adjust crude palm oil export tax, finance minister says+0.7%

After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Nov 26, 2018Malaysian palm oil price in biggest fall in 21 months as Indonesia axes export levy | The Star+0.6%
• Aug 20, 2025Malaysia and Indonesia move to be labeled “low-risk” for palm oil.+4.4%
• Aug 27, 2019Palm oil: Indonesia and Malaysia push back as EU clamps down - Nikkei Asia+1.9%
• Feb 12, 2018Export tax freeze to support Malaysian palm oil industry - Oxford Business Group-1.3%
• May 10, 2022EXCLUSIVE: Exclusive: Malaysia may cut palm oil export tax by half amid global supply crisis | Reuters-2.7%