
Malaysia suspended crude palm oil export taxes for three months from January 8, 2018, to boost exports and cut stockpiles. Palm oil stocks reached two-year highs of 2.7 million tonnes at end-December, up 59% year-on-year.
The minister described the step as a short-term measure to improve competitiveness.
Lower export costs and possible sales gains of up to 15% could draw down Malaysian inventories and firm CPO prices, a bullish signal for palm oil and a competitive threat to rival vegetable oils.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.