
Malaysian palm oil futures posted their biggest one-day fall in over 21 months on Monday after Indonesia announced it would cut its export levy to zero from $50 a tonne. Malaysia also announced a B10 biodiesel blending revision that traders see as supportive over the longer term.
Cutting Indonesia's levy makes Indonesian palm more competitive, while the B10 mandate may add domestic biodiesel demand later, leaving the near-term price bearish.
After 399 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 196 past neutral policy events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.