
Indonesia banned palm oil exports, shocking global edible oil markets that were already at record highs. The move alarmed major importers of the cooking oil ingredient, which is used in biscuits, margarine, detergents and chocolate.
Indonesia supplies a large share of world palm oil, so the export ban removes supply from a tight vegetable oil market and pushes palm and soyoil prices higher as buyers seek substitutes.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.