Indonesia announced a ban on palm oil exports effective April 28 to curb rising domestic cooking oil prices. Soybean oil rose 4.5% to a record 83.21 cents per pound on the Chicago Board of Trade.
Indonesia is the world's largest palm oil exporter, so the ban removes a major edible oil supply and pushes substitute oil prices sharply higher, with knock-on effects for feed fats and crush economics.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.