
U.S. soybean futures fell on June 16, 2021, to their lowest level since April 20, pressured by a retreat in global vegetable oil prices. CBOT soyoil fell its daily limit after hitting an all-time high the prior week, and palm oil and rapeseed also declined.
Corn and wheat ended mixed, with traders citing EPA consideration of relief from biofuel mandates.
Lower vegetable oil prices reduce the value of crushing margins and soybean demand for oil. Uncertainty over biofuel mandates adds risk to soyoil demand and keeps prices under pressure.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On June 16 soybeans fell to their lowest since April 20 as soyoil dropped its daily limit on EPA biofuel-mandate relief talk and global vegetable oil prices retreated, directly matching the move date.
Soyoil fell its daily limit on June 16 amid EPA mandate relief talk and a retreat in global vegetable oil prices, directly adding to the 5-day loss.