UFOP reports that palm oil prices weakened sharply, reaching their lowest level since August 2016 in Kuala Lumpur. Falling exports, rising production and stocks, and new Indian import duties pulled down vegetable oil prices.
Sunflower oil was also pressured by a large northern hemisphere crop.
Broad weakness across palm, soy and sunflower oils lowers the price of fat ingredients for feed, and the Indian duties and US biofuel volume decisions shape future demand.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
This report ties the palm oil slide to a lowest level since August 2016 on falling exports, rising output and stocks, and new Indian import duties, which together describe the supply, demand and trade-flow drivers.