
Ukrainian sunflower seed purchase prices rose UAH 500-1,000/t to UAH 27,500-28,500/t, while farmers hold back sales awaiting UAH 30,000/t. Sunflower oil export prices rose to $1,110-1,120/t, but palm and soybean oil fell sharply after India signaled plans to raise vegetable oil import duties.
India's planned duty increase lowers vegetable oil demand expectations, which could halt the sunseed and oil rally and weigh on palm and soy oil prices.
After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.