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Chicago July soybean oil futures rose about 6% on Friday and then surged further to $1,214/t by Monday, driven by the EPA's larger biofuel mandates and an oil price spike from Israeli strikes on Iran. Soybean prices stayed nearly unchanged, and ADM cut forward prices for new-crop beans as China import expectations weakened.
Biofuel mandates and higher crude lift soyoil values, while cuts to forward soybean bids and expected reduced Chinese purchases weigh on soybean prices and export demand.
ukragroconsult.comJun 18, 2025After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, BRENT moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soyoil rose about 6% then surged further, driven by EPA mandates and the crude spike from Israel-Iran strikes.
