Vegetable oil prices held at high levels as China shifted purchases away from US oilseed products toward other origins. Indonesia raised its crude palm oil export duty by $5 to $55 per tonne from June 1 to fund its B30 biodiesel mandate, while Malaysia cut its export duty to zero.
Chicago soybean oil traded near $608 per tonne and Ukrainian and Russian sunflower oil were quoted at $740-760 FOB.
Indonesia's higher export levy and biodiesel mandate tighten palm and soy oil supplies, supporting vegetable oil prices and lifting the cost of oil-based feed ingredients.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong vegetable oil demand, China's shift away from US oilseed products, Malaysia's zero export duty and Indonesia's B30-funding duty increase all supported palm and vegetable oil prices at a high level.
Indonesia's $5 export duty hike from June 1 to fund B30 biodiesel, Malaysia's duty cut to zero and strong vegetable oil demand are bullish for palm prices, though the report is dated a day after the move.