
India doubled its import duty on wheat to 20 percent and imposed a 50 percent import tax on peas, effective November 8, 2017. The government aims to support local prices after successive droughts and a good harvest, and India had imported 5.75 million tonnes of wheat in 2016/17.
A 20 percent wheat duty makes imports uneconomic for many buyers, which cuts India's import demand and weighs on world wheat prices, especially Black Sea supplies.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.