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World Grain reports that CME soybean oil futures have held above 60 cents per pound since late February and above 70 cents since late April. The EPA set 2026 biomass-based diesel volumes at about 5.4 billion gallons, up from 3.35 billion in 2025.
Analysts doubt the industry can reach the required RIN generation pace.
The sharp mandate increase creates a large structural demand source for soybean oil, supporting prices. Doubts about achieving the volume targets add uncertainty to how long the price support will last.
world-grain.comCrystal FutrellMay 27, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
