
The US EPA proposed a Renewable Fuel Standard volume of 24.02 billion gallons of biofuels for 2026, with biomass-based diesel rising more than 2 billion gallons to 5.61 billion gallons, and a further increase to 5.86 billion gallons in 2027. July soybeans closed up 27.5 cents and soybean oil rose the daily limit of 3 cents to 50.61 cents per pound.
The sharply higher biomass-based diesel mandate creates a large new demand pull for soybean oil, which should keep crush margins strong and support soybean prices as crushers expand output for both oil and meal.
After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.