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Midday commentary cited Fed-week nerves, a VIX near 34, a strong dollar near 19-year highs and 10-year Treasury yields near 2.99%. Grains and oilseeds came under pressure from improved weather forecasts, with USDA expected to confirm spring wheat planting delays.
Crude oil erased earlier losses.
A stronger dollar and rising yields weigh on commodities broadly, while spring wheat planting delays could cut acreage and support Minneapolis wheat prices.
stonex.comArlan SudermanMay 2, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 13 past bearish macro events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.1%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Midday commentary links grain pressure to improved weather forecasts, a strong dollar near 19-year highs and risk-off nerves ahead of the Fed, which are currency and sentiment factors.
