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The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing index fell to -9 in August from 7 in July, its lowest since spring 2020, and the Composite Index also dropped sharply. Separately, European fertilizer plants in Bulgaria, Lithuania and the UK suspended operations due to natural gas costs, following earlier shutdowns in Germany and Poland.
The US dollar traded near 108.6 and crude oil near $94.6.
Weak US manufacturing data points to softer demand and a firmer dollar, which weighs on commodity prices, while European fertilizer closures tighten nitrogen supply and support feed input costs.
stonex.comArlan SudermanAug 25, 2022After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
