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A GECF expert commentary reviews global gas and LNG prices through the first half of 2020. It says prices fell to record lows, with Northeast Asia spot LNG hitting US$1.68/mmBtu on 30 April amid oversupply and COVID-19 demand losses.
An oversupplied LNG market with weak demand keeps gas-to-power and fertilizer feedstock costs low, which weighs on competing energy and nitrogen input prices.
gecf.orgJul 29, 2020After 59 past bearish macro events, NATGAS moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.0% to +5.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
