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The Bloomberg Commodity Index has traded near unchanged for a third week after a correction from a three-year high in February. Brent crude is consolidating between $60 and $65 a barrel while OPEC+ prepares to add supply, and China's rising factory-gate prices raise concern about tighter monetary policy.
Reduced speculative positioning and a firmer dollar and Treasury yields weigh on broad commodity prices. Possible Chinese tightening and OPEC+ supply additions are the main risks to energy and metals prices.
home.saxoOle HansenMar 19, 2021After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
