
A J.P. Morgan podcast discusses oil demand, Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, and how Fed rate-cutting cycles historically affect oil and broader commodity returns.
The discussion also covers how renewed inflation could shape energy prospects.
Energy price moves feed into biofuel economics and freight costs, which indirectly affect feed-ingredient prices. The commentary is general outlook with no new supply event.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.