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Citi and HSBC outlooks say rate-cut cycles are likely to support precious metals, with silver a top pick, while industrial metals and energy have historically benefited less. Both banks cite the US election, possible tariffs, geopolitical supply risks and China's growth as additional factors.
The analysis points to limited direct support for energy and industrial commodities from rate cuts, so the feed-price impact of the easing cycle is modest.
cnbc.comWeizhen TanSep 19, 2024After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
