
The dollar struggled on May 18, 2020 as a jump in oil prices lifted commodity currencies such as the Norwegian crown and Canadian dollar. Gold rose above 0.7% near a seven-year high while the dollar index was down about 0.12% at 100.25.
Higher oil prices weaken the dollar and support commodity-linked currencies, which tends to lift grain and oilseed prices in dollar terms and supports biofuel-linked feedstocks.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.