
Oil extended Monday's rally after the full FDA approval of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine and a large Mexican production outage. Brent settled up $2.30 at $71.05 a barrel, a gain of about 3.35%.
The dollar slipped as commodity currencies gained.
A weaker dollar and firmer crude prices lift commodity values, and the supply outage supports the oil rally.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.