The dollar rose across the board as Middle East conflict pushed up oil and investors anticipated the Federal Reserve's first rate hike in over two years. Brent briefly reached $109.8 a barrel, and Houthi strikes on Saudi Arabia and a closed bypass pipeline were cited as drivers.
Higher crude lifts input costs for fertilizer, freight and biofuels, which tends to support grain and oilseed values. A stronger dollar raises the price of US feed commodities for foreign buyers.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.