
The dollar held near its highest level in a week and the yen slipped as renewed fears of Middle East energy disruption lifted bond yields and oil. The Dollar Index was around 99.08 ahead of US CPI data.
Energy-driven inflation fears support oil and keep the dollar firm, which raises import costs for feed-importing countries. Higher yields also tighten financing conditions for the sector.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.