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Global equities slid and the dollar firmed after the Federal Reserve pledged to hold rates near zero until at least 2023 and keep its bond-buying in place. Longer-term Treasury yields and gold edged higher, while oil rose over 2% as Hurricane Sally shut U.S. offshore output and crude inventories unexpectedly fell.
Dovish Fed policy supports commodity prices via a weaker dollar expectation, but the dollar firmed on the day, and energy prices rose on supply disruption from the hurricane. Feed-relevant impact is mainly through energy and macro currents.
reuters.comHerbert LashSep 16, 2020After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On Sept 16 oil rose over 2% as Sally cut offshore output and US crude inventories unexpectedly fell (a bullish draw), which fits the day's gain.
