
The US dollar index slid 0.8% to 100.60, its weakest level since July 2023, after Powell said the time had come to cut rates. The greenback was down more than 2% in August as traders positioned for the Fed to start easing in September.
The rally spread to currencies and commodities.
A weaker dollar and expected rate cuts tend to lift dollar-priced commodities and currencies such as the Australian dollar, which tracks commodity demand.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.