
The US Dollar Index fell to its lowest level since December 2014 in March, reaching four-year lows. A technical analysis points to possible further downside toward 87.44 and 83.82, while expecting range-bound trade with support near 88.15.
The author notes that US economic data remains solid.
Technical levels alone rarely move feed markets, but a sustained dollar slide tends to lift dollar-priced commodities. Traders watching this range may adjust positions in grains and meal.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.