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The dollar strengthened on April 7 after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report for March. Rate futures shifted to price a 70% chance of a 25 basis point Fed hike in May, though multiple cuts were also priced by year end.
Higher odds of further Fed tightening lift the dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise financing costs for importers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.