
A Reuters poll found investors are shunning Asian currencies as the Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz shipping, which carries roughly a fifth of global oil supply. Crude prices are above $100 and inflation fears are rising.
The shift reflects a sharp energy shock hitting oil-importing economies.
Energy-driven currency stress in Asian importers raises their costs for feed and fuel and can curb demand for imported feedstuffs. A firmer dollar and higher crude also feed into broader input cost inflation for livestock producers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.