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Rising output from producers taking advantage of expensive crude has eroded spare capacity that normally buffers the oil market against sudden shocks. Analysts warn this raises the risk of price spikes or fuel shortages.
With little spare capacity, any supply disruption could spark sharp crude rallies, raising energy and freight costs for feed makers and supporting vegetable oil and biofuel demand.
reuters.comAhmad GhaddarJan 26, 2022After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
