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Latin American commodity currencies rebounded on August 23 as crude oil rose over 4.5% and copper advanced. The Brazilian real and Colombian peso each firmed about 0.4%, while the dollar eased from nine-month highs after Dallas Fed President Kaplan said tapering could be reconsidered if COVID harmed the economy.
Higher crude prices and a softer dollar support emerging-market currencies and raise demand for energy-linked commodities. For feed markets, a weaker dollar generally lifts dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices, while stronger oil supports biofuel feedstock values.
brecorder.comReutersAug 23, 2021After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Same-day report confirms crude rose over 4.5% alongside a weaker dollar after Kaplan's taper comments, supporting the currency and risk-on mechanism.
