
The ringgit and rupiah gained on April 4 after OPEC+ announced a surprise cut of 1.16 million barrels per day to output targets, which lifted Brent crude. Analysts at OCBC warned the cut could add to sticky inflation, while HSBC said higher oil prices favour regional currencies such as the ringgit.
Higher crude prices raise energy and freight costs for feed supply chains and support regional currencies that are linked to energy exports. The currency gains are a modest knock-on effect of the oil move.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.