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Malaysian palm oil futures rose more than 3% on April 3 to 3,885 ringgit per tonne, their biggest gain in two months. The rally followed a surprise OPEC+ output cut that lifted crude oil prices.
Higher crude makes palm more attractive as biodiesel feedstock, so energy-driven buying lifts vegetable oil prices. Soyoil also rose on Chicago and Dalian exchanges, reflecting the same energy link.
brecorder.comReutersApr 3, 2023After 38 past bullish macro events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +3.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 28 past bullish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
