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Gleadell's trading director said an unexpected change to the US biodiesel mandate and a jump in crude oil after OPEC's output cut agreement supported vegetable oil and European rapeseed futures. Sterling's sharp rise against the euro offset those gains for UK farm gate prices, and crushers are sourcing imported rapeseed, including Australian and French cargoes.
Stronger vegetable oil support from biofuel policy and crude prices lifts oilseed values, while a firmer pound makes UK rapeseed less competitive against imports, limiting domestic price gains.
farming.co.ukDec 2, 2016After 28 past bullish macro events, Soybean Oil moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (32% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.8%), and -2.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
